Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 5.353793 5.833511 6.369779 7.020911 7.800395 8.717562 9.900665
2024-12-29 4.700260 5.311111 6.042605 7.006188 8.281006 9.974921 12.529445
2025-01-05 4.210204 4.886280 5.739131 6.938627 8.668988 11.249972 15.859615
2025-01-12 3.744610 4.424499 5.313271 6.623359 8.641821 11.954090 18.888266
2025-01-19 3.363456 4.026304 4.915913 6.275109 8.482404 12.413013 22.007042
2025-01-26 3.245473 3.962600 4.964906 6.586657 9.465061 15.424450 35.901623
2025-02-02 3.240452 4.050754 5.240723 7.313234 11.476160 22.471460 112.908921
2025-02-09 3.146334 3.999128 5.297080 7.687845 13.008602 30.923922 748008.022376
2025-02-16 3.035209 3.909488 5.279325 7.924784 14.388572 42.864284 NaN
2025-02-23 2.915000 3.793792 5.202686 8.031007 15.529490 59.760705 NaN
2025-03-02 2.735130 3.571031 4.920706 7.663421 15.132625 64.437256 NaN
2025-03-09 2.614858 3.433789 4.773328 7.557708 15.538600 82.980281 NaN
2025-03-16 2.432409 3.200761 4.463399 7.109447 14.839183 87.420218 NaN
2025-03-23 2.337630 3.102622 4.384528 7.166746 16.012833 170.756143 NaN
2025-03-30 2.241497 2.995639 4.279519 7.148302 16.977974 509.037889 NaN
2025-04-06 2.120404 2.840176 4.071900 6.850868 16.621787 1058.530179 NaN
2025-04-13 2.003988 2.686335 3.856122 6.504279 15.900824 1561.690226 NaN
2025-04-20 1.978018 2.680770 3.916684 6.854666 18.846781 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 1.993778 2.746273 4.121451 7.652637 26.298429 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 1.967938 2.737806 4.178905 8.071724 33.239831 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 1.930334 2.705701 4.183880 8.339788 40.706035 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.884597 2.655926 4.146126 8.463108 47.905840 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.806792 2.544153 3.965792 8.064946 44.544293 NaN NaN